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15/16 EPL Remaining Strength Of Schedule

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The all important run in is upon us with the final 10 games of an unpredictable EPL season in the cards. Which clubs will be able to move up the table in this stretch and which clubs might see their hopes dashed? Find out in the Two Daft Yanks remaining strength of schedule analysis!

In terms of the title contenders Leicester City, Tottenham and Arsenal all have middle of the road schedules with the 8th, 9th and 10th easiest remaining schedules respectively.  This strength of schedule analysis is based on the opponent home and away goal differential splits and then totaled up for a comprehensive number not for statistical purposes but to establish an order of magnitude.

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15/16 EPL Remaining Strength Of Schedule

Based on the analysis above Tottenham seems to have the most balanced schedule as they are the only contending club with opponents carrying a negative goal differential both home and away. Leicester has a somewhat challenging away schedule facing games against Manchester United (+12) and an improving Chelsea side (+5). Arsenal’s away schedule is even more demanding with games vs Tottenham (+15) and Manchester City (+18). Both Arsenal and Leicester do have fairly easy home schedules though and it will be key for both sides to come away with three points at home in their winnable games if they are to lift the Premier League trophy in May.

Between the main three title contenders there isn’t a whole lot to separate them and they will have to play well to hold off Manchester City who is 10 points back of Leicester but have the fourth easiest schedule at -19.

In terms of the relegation battle, Aston Villa and Sunderland both have challenging schedules placing them both in the top six in difficulty. Aston Villa faces three tough road tests versus Manchester City (+18), Manchester United (+12) and Arsenal (+9) which all but ensures their relegation. Sunderland face an up hill battle as well with the second most difficult schedule in the league with a total +26 rating in favor of their opponents.

Norwich and Newcastle have great opportunity to avoid relegation if they can take advantage of their remaining relatively easy fixtures. Norwich has the easiest remaining schedule in the league (-50) including home six-point matches against Newcastle (-25) and Sunderland (-20). While Newcastle travels to Aston Villa (-12) and hosts Sunderland (-20) in their own six-point matches.

Do the numbers on the schedule presented above change your mind on who may win the title or who might be relegated? Let us know!

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Boxing Day A New American Tradition?

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Boxing Day, a secular Holiday that takes place the day after Christmas traditionally celebrated in the United Kingdom and its Commonwealth’s is not just for Britons anymore. Many Americans are also turning their eyes to December 26th and not for a “Christmas Box” that is given to those in public service (postmen and the like) for a job well done during the year. No, the United States the most sports hungry country in the world has caught on to Premier League football and most importantly the football that is held on Boxing Day.

The beginnings of football on Boxing Day can be traced back to 1860 when Sheffield FC and Hallam FC played a match that was won 2-0 by Sheffield. The presence of football on Boxing Day was further cemented in 1888 when Preston North End defeated Derby County 5-0 in the first season of the Football League. From 1888 to 1957 football was featured on both Christmas Day and Boxing Day and the 1957/58 season was the last one to feature a complete set of league fixtures on Christmas Day. The last English League match that was played on Christmas Day took place in 1965 that saw Blackpool defeat Blackburn 4-2. From then on Boxing Day has stolen the show with a full set of fixtures taking place almost every year since.

As I get older Christmas becomes less and less something that I look forward to. This is due in part to the commercialized version of Christmas in our modern society is aimed at children and unfortunately for me I am an adult who has to pay the bills and the like (doh!). Like most people I enjoy spending time with my extended family, exchanging gifts and gorging out on ham or turkey but that’s all secondary now. The real Christmas time attraction that I look forward to and circle the calendar for, is the hours of football I can enjoy on Boxing Day. There’s nothing better than waking up early on December 26th with the anticipation of 10 EPL matches on the same day. NBC Sports is set to cash in with wall to wall coverage of the football with a mixture of live games, highlight shows and match replays for the majority of the day on the network.

We really are spoiled as a country to have the access we do because not even in England will they have the opportunity to watch as much Premier League football on Boxing Day as us Americans will. It will be interesting to see how the TV ratings shake out, they will most certainly beat out MLS (low hanging fruit, I know) and if it is widely successful NBC may be well on their way to helping establish Boxing Day as a new American Tradition.

 

2015 Boxing Day Fixtures 

December 26, 2015
Stoke City 12:45 PM Manchester United
Swansea City 3:00 PM West Bromwich Albion
Aston Villa 3:00 PM West Ham United
Chelsea 3:00 PM Watford
Liverpool 3:00 PM Leicester City
AFC Bournemouth 3:00 PM Crystal Palace
Tottenham Hotspur 3:00 PM Norwich City
Manchester City 3:00 PM Sunderland
Newcastle United 5:30 PM Everton
Southampton 7:45 PM Arsenal

All Times GMT

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Champions and Europa League Draws

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With the group stages of the Champions and Europa League completed last week, all eyes turned to Nyon, Switzerland for the knockout stage draws. Here is what the absolutely randon draw and fate provided us for this coming February:

Champions League 

16 February & 9 March
Paris Saint-Germain (FRA) v Chelsea (ENG)
Benfica (POR) v Zenit (RUS)


17 February & 8 March
Gent (BEL) v Wolfsburg (GER)
Roma (ITA) v Real Madrid (ESP)


23 February & 16 March
Arsenal (ENG) v Barcelona (ESP)
Juventus (ITA) v Bayern München (GER)


24 February & 15 March
PSV Eindhoven (NED) v Atlético Madrid (ESP)
Dynamo Kyiv (UKR) v Manchester City (ENG)

Europa League

Round of 32 draw

February 18th and 25th

Valencia (ESP) v Rapid Wien (AUT)
Fiorentina (ITA) v Tottenham Hotspur (ENG)
Borussia Dortmund (GER) v Porto (POR)
Fenerbahçe (TUR) v Lokomotiv Moskva (RUS)
Anderlecht (BEL) v Olympiacos (GRE)
Midtjylland (DEN) v Manchester United (ENG)
Augsburg (GER) v Liverpool (ENG)
Sparta Praha (CZE) v Krasnodar (RUS)
Galatasaray (TUR) v Lazio (ITA)
Sion (SUI) v Braga (POR)
Shakhtar Donetsk (UKR) v Schalke (GER)
Marseille (FRA) v Athletic Club (ESP)
Sevilla (ESP, holders) v Molde (NOR)
Sporting CP (POR) v Bayer Leverkusen (GER)
Villarreal (ESP) v Napoli (ITA)
St-Étienne (FRA) v Basel (SUI)

 

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Mourinho: Should He Stay Or Should He Go?

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Jose Mourinho

Mourinho is under pressure at Chelsea. Will he survive?


English punk rock group The Clash (with a slight lyric tweak) provides the tag line for this weekend’s most pressing Premier League question. Jose Mourinho, should he stay or should he go?

Chelsea the defending Premier League champions have registered just 11 points in 11 games and find themselves 15th in the league table. The results for Chelsea have been poor and the club is not defending and finishing their chances as they did last season when they only lost three out of 38 matches. It is November first and the Blues have already dropped six matches which is something no one would have predicted to happen on this calendar date entering this season.

While the play on the pitch has been sub-par for a club with the number of quality players in it’s squad, the behavior of Mourinho both on and off the touchline has been quite odd and cynical even for the “Special One’s” standards. Mourinho is clearly under pressure and looks like a manager who has ran out of ideas when being placed into a situation he has never encountered before. Sources say the under pressure manager held “crisis” talks with Roman Abramovich after yesterday’s Liverpool loss and the Portuguese manager has the two matches this week to save his job.

One sticking point for Chelsea sacking Mourinho could be the pay out that the club would have to pay to send Mourinho on his way. Just this last August the club extended Mourinho’s contract four years at a reported £9.5m per season. Meaning it would require Abramovich and the club to lay out upwards of £30-40m to pay Mourinho off. Although a report in the Mirror (take with a HUGE grain of salt) claims their is a clause in the contract that requires the club to only pay one year (£9.5m) of compensation. If this report true it could make the Russian billionaires decision to let Mourinho go much easier.

This is a complicated situation for Chelsea because they are less than six months removed from winning the title and in order to sack Mourinho it would be best to have another quality manager already lined up. Hiring an elite manager in November with Chelsea in the situation they are in could prove to be quite difficult. We will see what happens this week but one would have to guess based on the rumblings coming out of Stamford Bridge that Jose’s second stint at Chelsea will end sooner rather than later.

 

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